Pattern Consistency Analysis

Comparing MMA GURU's view patterns against three verified organic MMA channels. The data reveals patterns that are statistically impossible for organic growth.

Channels Analyzed

THE MMA GURU

407K

subscribers

SUSPECT

Michael Bisping

730K

subscribers

BASELINE

Lucas Tracy MMA

162K

subscribers

BASELINE

Ariel Helwani

385K

subscribers

BASELINE
THE SMOKING GUN: 2025 View Floor Comparison

The view floor is the minimum views ANY video receives. Organic channels have "flops" - MMA GURU doesn't.

ChannelSubscribersMin ViewsAvg ViewsFloor %Under 50K
THE MMA GURU ⚠️407K66,553212,09331.4%0 (0.0%)
Michael Bisping 730K3,259123,2572.6%101 (40.2%)
Lucas Tracy MMA 162K24,08397,47724.7%12 (6.6%)
Ariel Helwani 385K1,69250,0663.4%856 (69.7%)

🚨 The Impossibility:

  • • Bisping has 730K subs (1.8x more than MMA GURU)
  • • Bisping's minimum: 3,259 views
  • • MMA GURU's minimum: 66,553 views
  • • MMA GURU's floor is 20x higher with fewer subs

✅ What Organic Looks Like:

  • • Bisping: 40% of videos under 50K views
  • • Ariel: 70% of videos under 50K views
  • • MMA GURU: 0% under 50K ⚠️
  • • Organic channels ALWAYS have flops
Year-Over-Year Floor Progression

The floor should NOT rise with the average. This is the key fraud indicator.

MMA GURU - Floor RISES ⚠️

2021Min: 1,39012.3%
2022Min: 4,19513.2%
2023Min: 20,49125.9%
2024Min: 49,51729.8%
2025Min: 66,55331.4%

Floor increased from 12% → 31% as channel grew

Michael Bisping - Floor FALLS ✅

2021Min: 30,27110.2%
2022Min: 20,11612.5%
2023Min: 10,4428.5%
2024Min: 4,3454.3%
2025Min: 3,2592.6%

Floor decreased from 10% → 2.6% as channel grew (NORMAL)

Why This Matters:

Organic channels have MORE flops as they grow because not every video resonates with the larger audience. MMA GURU's floor rises WITH his average - this is the signature of purchased views where a minimum view count is guaranteed on every video.

Overall Flop Rate Analysis (All Videos)

Organic channels have videos that underperform. This measures videos below key thresholds.

ChannelUnder 10KUnder 50KUnder 100KOver 100K
THE MMA GURU1720 (50.0%)2422 (70.5%)2812 (81.8%)625 (18.2%)
Michael Bisping10 (0.8%)359 (30.4%)731 (61.9%)450 (38.1%)
Lucas Tracy MMA44 (6.2%)287 (40.6%)573 (81.0%)134 (19.0%)
Ariel Helwani323 (15.7%)1436 (69.9%)1785 (86.9%)270 (13.1%)

Note: MMA GURU's overall stats include early videos (2018-2022) when the channel was smaller. The anomaly is in recent videos (2024-2026) where the flop rate drops to nearly zero.

The 2023 Inflection Point

Something changed in 2023. The data shows a clear inflection point.

Before 2023 (Normal Pattern)

  • • 2019: avg 2,774 views, min 212
  • • 2020: avg 4,903 views, min 407
  • • 2021: avg 11,309 views, min 1,390
  • • 2022: avg 31,676 views, min 4,195
  • • Floor consistently 12-13% of average
  • • 96-100% of videos under 100K

After 2023 (Anomalous Pattern) ⚠️

  • • 2023: avg 79,124 views, min 20,491
  • • 2024: avg 166,312 views, min 49,517
  • • 2025: avg 212,093 views, min 66,553
  • • Floor jumps to 26-31% of average
  • • Only 6% of videos under 100K (2025)
VERDICT: ARTIFICIAL VIEW INFLATION

What Organic Channels Show:

  • ✅ View floor at 2-10% of average
  • ✅ 40-70% of videos under 50K views
  • ✅ Floor DECREASES as channel grows
  • ✅ Regular "flop" videos

What MMA GURU Shows:

  • ⚠️ View floor at 31% of average
  • ⚠️ Only 0% of 2025 videos under 50K
  • ⚠️ Floor INCREASES as channel grows
  • ⚠️ Zero flops in recent videos

The consistency patterns in MMA GURU's 2023-2025 data are statistically impossible for organic growth.

66K+ View Floor0% Flop RateRising Floor Pattern2023 Inflection