THE MMA GURU
IS BUYING VIEWS.
We analyzed 7,380 videos across 4 MMA channels. The data reveals 5 statistical impossibilities that cannot be explained by organic growth.
FRAUD CONFIDENCE: EXTREME
Based on 7 independent statistical indicators
Each one alone is suspicious. All five together = fraud.
The channel with FEWER subscribers has a 20× higher minimum view floor. This is mathematically impossible.
2025 Minimum Views Per Video — The Channel With FEWER Subs Has a 20x Higher Floor
Bisping: 730K subs → 3,259 min views
vs
MMA GURU: 407K subs → 66,553 min views
Larger channels have MORE variance, not less. This is the opposite of organic behavior.
Every organic channel has videos that underperform. MMA GURU has essentially zero flops in 2 years.
% of Videos Under 50K Views (2024–2026) — Every organic channel has flops. MMA GURU has essentially ZERO.
1
MMA GURU video under 50K
out of 622 videos (2024–2026)
1,071
Ariel Helwani videos under 50K
out of 1,543 videos (same period)
Organic growth is chaotic. Purchased growth is smooth like a financial instrument.
MMA GURU: Smooth ~2x every year. Organic channels: chaotic spikes & crashes.
MMA GURU Variance
27.6% — suspiciously smooth
Ariel Variance
138.6% — chaotic & real
Lucas Variance
90.9% — chaotic & real
The 5 Statistical Impossibilities — Full Breakdown
The 20x Floor Impossibility
20×Michael Bisping has 730K subscribers — nearly DOUBLE MMA GURU's 407K. Yet Bisping's worst video in 2025 got 3,259 views. MMA GURU's worst video got 66,553 views. That's 20x higher with FEWER subscribers.
⚠️ Statistically impossible without artificial inflation.
The Zero Flop Impossibility
0.2%In 2024–2026, MMA GURU posted 622 videos. Only 1 got under 50K views. Ariel Helwani (similar subscriber count) had 1,071 videos under 50K in the same period — a 69.4% flop rate. Every organic channel has flops. MMA GURU has essentially zero.
⚠️ The probability of this occurring organically is effectively zero.
The Rising Floor Impossibility
12% → 31%As a channel grows, its view floor as a percentage of average DECREASES — because not every video resonates with the larger audience. Bisping's floor fell from 10% to 2.6%. MMA GURU's floor ROSE from 12% to 31%. This is the signature of a guaranteed minimum view purchase.
⚠️ Organic channels' floors fall as they grow. MMA GURU's rises. Impossible.
The Smooth Growth Impossibility
~2× every yearMMA GURU grew at 1.77x → 2.31x → 2.80x → 2.50x → 2.10x → 1.28x. Average: 1.96x with only 27.6% variance. Ariel Helwani's organic growth: 8.40x → 0.03x → 5.61x → 0.74x — 138.6% variance. Organic growth is CHAOTIC. Purchased growth is smooth like a financial instrument.
⚠️ Six consecutive years of ~2x growth with zero declines. Impossible organically.
The Sub-to-View Ratio Impossibility
52% ratioIndustry research shows 8–14% of subscribers watch each video as the maximum for organic channels. MrBeast (300M+ subs) averages 15–20%. PewDiePie (111M subs) averages 5–10%. MMA GURU (407K subs) claims 52% — 3.7x the industry maximum.
⚠️ Even the biggest creators on YouTube don't achieve this ratio.
Based on $0.60/1,000 views (conservative SMM panel pricing)
$1K
2019
$2K
2020
$4K
2021
$9K
2022
$22K
2023
$35K
2024
$35K
2025
Total Investment
$106,088
Over 6 years
Estimated Returns
$500K+
Brand deals, sponsorships, monetization
Fraud ROI
~5×
Return on fraud investment
Final Verdict
COMPOUND FRAUD INFRASTRUCTURE
This is not random view buying. This is a systematic, scaled operation designed to simulate organic growth while maintaining plausible deniability. The inflection point in 2023 marks when artificial inflation was significantly escalated.
Data Transparency
Source Data
- • VidIQ CSV exports — January 17, 2026
- • 7,380 videos analyzed across 4 channels
- • THE MMA GURU: 3,437 videos (2018–2026)
- • Michael Bisping: 1,181 videos (2021–2026)
- • Lucas Tracy MMA: 707 videos (2022–2026)
- • Ariel Helwani: 2,055 videos (2021–2026)
Statistical Methods
- • Mean, Median, Standard Deviation
- • Coefficient of Variation (CV%)
- • Percentile Distribution Analysis
- • Year-over-Year Growth Multipliers
- • Subscriber-to-View Ratio Benchmarking
- • View Floor Pattern Analysis